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“It is certainly not good for investment,” Smeaton tells me, with the wry understatement common to Scots. “Or for the U.S. consumer. They are paying higher prices.” MorphCostume’s outfits now cost 9% more, after Smeaton’s business was hit by a $3 million duty bill.
That dynamic—when one firm’s AI-driven restructuring is applauded by Wall Street, prompting peers to imitate it—is precisely the mechanism Zandi fears most. It’s not a single dramatic rupture, but a cascading series of rational corporate decisions, each one nudging the labor market closer to the edge.